Thursday, June 18, 2015

Drought reversal could bring flooding

According to a recent Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) statewide survey, two-thirds of Californians consider the drought to be the most critical issue facing the state.  Thats why the news about a 2015 El Nino is so welcomed. This summer will be dry but meteorologists say there is a 90 percent chance of an El Nino in the fall and an 85 percent chance of it lasting through the winter.

El Nino predictions are based on warming Pacific Ocean waters off the west coast of South America near the equator.  An El Nino can alter the location of the jet stream resulting in more Pacific storms and rain.

When it comes to wishing for a strong El Nino, the PPIC blog also reminds us to be careful what we ask for - droughts often end with floods.

The most recent example is Texas - August 2010 to July 2011 was the driest year ever for the state.  Coupled with unprecedented heat, the state experienced wildfires and billions of dollars of economic losses.  Farmers and ranchers felt the most pain with an estimated $7.62 billion loss of crops and livestock.

This year the drought ended and the floods began.  May 2015 was the wettest month ever in Texas with an average of 8.81 inches across the state.  Some communities experienced over five inches of rain in a single day.

In August 2011, 93 percent of the state of Oklahoma was in an extreme to exceptional drought condition.  The Dust Bowl reappeared -- soil was hurled into the air by 60+ mile per hour winds creating clouds so thick cars were forced off highways.

In 2015 the rains returned averaging 14.4 inches across the Sooner state.  Instead of being forced off the roads, cars floated away. 

Australia is one of the driest continents on earth so drought conditions are not unusual.  Still nothing had prepared the Aussies for the almost decade long Big Dry- the worst drought ever.  Then in late 2010 and early 2011 the drought ended when torrential rains fell over Northeastern Australia causing one of the worst natural disasters the country ever experienced.

Does this mean we dont want the rain?  Definitely not - we do want rain.   But strange as it may seem as we carry buckets of shower water to our potted plants, it might be a good idea to do some thinking about being prepared for when the rains return. 

Maybe you think your home or business is safe because you arent in a low lying area but think again.  According to FEMA, floods can happen anywhere.

Flash floods can occur quickly carrying rocks and debris in surging water.  Now is the time to assembly an emergency kit ready in case a quick evacuation becomes necessary.

Most insurance policies dont cover floods.  Now is a good time to check your business and home policies and consider purchasing a flood insurance policy if you arent covered.  If you are in a special flood hazard zone you need to get National Flood Insurance.  Check the Flood Map Service Center at msc.fema.gov to find out. 

A few preparations now might lessen the impacts on your purse and your stress level when the rain returns. 

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